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Risk of Monetary Gambles: An Axiomatic Approach | The Federmann Center for the Study of Rationality

Risk of Monetary Gambles: An Axiomatic Approach

Abstract:

In this work we present five axioms for a risk-order relation defined over (monetary) gambles. We then characterize an index that satisfies all these axioms "the probability of losing money in a gamble multiplied by the expected value of such an outcome "and prove its uniqueness. We propose to use this function as the risk of a gamble. This index is continuous, homogeneous, monotonic with respect to first- and second-order stochastic dominance, and simple to calculate. We also compare our index with some other risk indices mentioned in the literature.

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