Citation:
Sergiu Hart, Y. R. . (2019). Posterior Probabilities: Dominance and Optimism. Discussion Papers. presented at the 11. Retrieved from http://www.ma.huji.ac.il/hart/abs/posterior.html
Abstract:
The Bayesian posterior probability of the true state is stochastically dominated by that same posterior under the probability law of the true state. This generalizes to notions of "optimism" about posterior probabilities.