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Number Authour(s) Title Date Published in Abstract Paper
732 Maya Bar-Hillel The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments (12/2019) Acta Psychologica, vol. 44 (1980), p. 211-233

The base-rate fallacy is people's tendency to ignore base rates in favor of, e.g.,...

731 Sergiu Hart, Dean P. Foster Forecast-Hedging and Calibration (11/2019)

Calibration means that for each forecast x the average of the realized actions in the periods in...

730 Sergiu Hart, Yosef Rinott Posterior Probabilities: Dominance and Optimism (11/2019)

The Bayesian posterior probability of the true state is stochastically dominated by that same...

729 Maya Bar-Hillel, Tom Noah, Shane Frederick Maya Bar-Hillel, Tom Noah, and Shane Frederick, Solving stumpers, CRT and CRAT: Are the abilities related? (10/2019) Judgement and Decision Making, Vol. 14, No. 5, September 2019, pp. 620-623

Bar-Hillel, Noah and Frederick (2018) studied a class of riddles they called stumpers, which...

728 Maya Bar-Hillel Why didn't I see it earlier? (07/2019) Sternberg, Robert J., ed. My Biggest Research Mistake: Adventures and Misadventures in Psychological Research. SAGE Publications, 2019.
727 Maya Bar-Hillel and Jacob Lavee Lay attitudes toward involuntary organ procurement from death-row prisoners: no, but (06/2019) Behavioural Public Policy

A multi-item questionnaire concerning lay people's attitudes toward organ procurement...

726 Maya Bar-Hillel, Cass R. Sunstein Baffling bathrooms: On navigability and choice architecture (06/2019) Behavioral Public Policy Blog
725 Tomer Siedner Optimal pricing by a risk-averse seller (05/2019)

We consider the basic setup of one seller, one buyer, and one good, where the seller is risk...

724 Maya Bar-Hillel The unbearable lightness of self-induced mind corruption (11/2018)

Talk delivered at the opening of SPUDM 26, Haifa, Israel, August 2017.

723 Adiv Gal, David Saltz, Uzi Motro Effect of Supplemental Feeding on Nesting Success in the Lesser Kestrel (Falco Naumanni) (09/2018)

The effect of food supplement to Lesser Kestrel (Falco naumanni) nests during the nestling...